Our football expert shares his betting tips and shares key insights on the biggest Premier League games this weekend. European places are still up for grabs and the relegation battle reaches its climax.
Leeds United v Newcastle United (Saturday 12:30 UTC+01:00)
Both sides have a lot to play for going into the final games of the season, but for very different reasons. The home side are clutching on to their place in the Premier League, whilst Newcastle are looking to secure Champions League football.
The away side are clear favourites (1.70) and will expect to bounce back from their 2-0 defeat last week against a side with just one point in their last six games. With 20 goals conceded in those games, Newcastle to score in both halves at 2.28 is one to strongly consider.
Sam Allardyce’s arrival to Yorkshire could be too little too late, but they did show clear signs of improvement last time out. With a buoyant home crowd behind them, a shock home win (4.50) would be another twist in the battle to avoid relegation this season. Patrick Bamford (3.40) and Rodrigo Moreno (3.00) have scored the last two goals for Leeds, and whoever starts for the home side is the best bet for a goalscorer.
Everton v Manchester City (Sunday 14:00 UTC+01:00)
The away side haven’t dropped points in the Premier League since February – a run of 10 consecutive wins – an ominous run of form for the home side.
Pep Guardiola may rotate his side following their 1-1 draw in midweek against Real Madrid, with one eye on the return leg next Wednesday for a place in the Champions League final. Julian Alvarez may get the nod and is one to consider to score anytime at 2.58, given they’re heavily favoured to win on the road (1.36).
Everton haven’t won against City since a 4-0 thumping in January 2017, which is a whopping 276.00 for a repeat scoreline this weekend. If you fancy an upset after their 5-1 win in midweek, but just can’t see a repeat of that scoreline from six years ago (we don’t blame you), backing Everton (8.53) is the way to go.
Arsenal v Brighton (Sunday 16:30 UTC+01:00)
The objective in the next three games for Arsenal is very simple: win (1.77) . The search for a first Premier League title since 2004 is out of their hands, but two consecutive wins has given them a fighting chance if City slip up.
Easier said than done when they face a tricky Brighton side who have beaten Manchester United, Liverpool and Chelsea in the Premier League this season. An uncharacteristic 5-1 humbling in midweek could be the ideal result to bounce back from and all but end the Gunners’ title hopes with an away win (4.23). A result for The Seagulls would boost their chances of securing European football next season, which would be a resounding success for Roberto De Zebri’s side.
With just one clean sheet in eight games for Arsenal, and the attacking prowess of both sides – both teams to score in both halves at 8.00 could be worth a closer look.
In the last 10 meetings, the results are almost evenly split with three draws, four wins for Brighton and three for Arsenal – so there’s no clear trend ahead of this game.
**Odds are subject to change. Odds accurate as of 12:00 UTC+01:00 Friday 12th May**
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