The Champions League returns as our football expert previews all four quarter-finals, sharing betting tips. Get all the insights into the trends catching his eye ahead of these midweek games.
Manchester City v Bayern Munich (Tuesday 20:00 UTC+01:00)
There’s a familiar feeling about this match-up for Pep Guardiola, not least because of his time at the Bavarian club. Man City loanee Joao Cancelo and former winger Leroy Sane are both in the squad, and former Chelsea manager Thomas Tuchel is in the dugout.
The Spaniard has the upper hand in their 10 meetings as managers, winning six and losing on three occasions – the most notable being the 2021 Champions League final. Four of the last five meetings between these two managers have ended 1-0, the home side priced at 9.00 to win by a single goal with Munich at 17.00.
Erling Haaland is undoubtedly the main threat, and is 3.80 to bag a brace – his second in a matter of days – and add to his 44 goals this season.
Bayern recovered from a shock Cup exit last week to Freiburg with a slender win over the same side, but they do have a 100% winning record in the Champions League this season having faced the likes of Barcelona and PSG. An away win (5.00) would certainly be an upset, but not something that can be totally ruled out – especially with former Liverpool man Sadio Mane’s record of four goals in his last three appearances against City. He’s 3.70 to score again.
Benfica v Inter Milan (Tuesday 20:00 UTC+01:00)
Benfica remain unbeaten in the Champions League this season, but their preparation hasn’t been ideal for this one. A shock 2-1 home defeat on Friday in the O Clasico and several key players either injured or suspended could hinder their attempts to reach their first semi-final since 1990 in the competition.
Meanwhile, Inter are winless in their last six games, scoring just three goals – and scored a single goal past their opponents’ Portuguese rivals Porto in their last-16 tie.
No Goals is currently 10.00, certainly worth a look given the issues both sides are facing ahead of this one. If any team is likely to score based on form, it’s undoubtedly the home side – they’re 3.80 to win the match and keep a clean sheet.
Real Madrid v Chelsea (Wednesday 20:00 UTC+01:00)
Meeting for their third consecutive season in the Champions League knockout stages – these two are very familiar with one another. In the last two seasons, whichever side has won this tie has gone on to become champions – so it’s one to watch closely!
Real Madrid are the clear favourite (1.71) given Chelsea’s lacklustre form, who have won just one of their last six games. Carlo Ancelotti’s men have been inconsistent in the league – underpinned by Saturday’s 3-2 defeat to Villareal – but a 4-0 rout of Barcelona in the Copa del Rey shows they can dismantle any team on their day.
Vinicius Junior has 21 goals this season, including six in the Champions League and is 3.10 to get on the scoresheet again.
Frank Lampard hasn’t got to grips with a Blues team struggling for form – but memories of their run to Champions League glory in 2012 could spur them on. They are unbeaten at the Santiago Bernabeu and won 3-2 last season in the second leg – while a repeat of that scoreline is unlikely, a safe bet could be Draw-Chelsea Double Chance as 2.16 if you’re feeling nostalgic.
AC Milan v Napoli (Wednesday 20:00 UTC+01:00)
The all-Serie A quarter-final caps off a blockbuster group of European games.
Napoli have won the last three meetings at the San Siro, and are 22 points ahead of Milan in the league standings. But a 4-0 trouncing at the beginning of the month casts a slight doubt over whether this one will be a foregone conclusion.
Luciano Spaletti’s side are slight favourites going into this one (2.67) and with the league all but won, they can put all their effort into this tie.
On the other hand, Milan are battling for the top four – so while the seven-time winners have history on their side, their focus is stretched across several competitions. Olivier Giroud is the main man to watch out for – 3.15 to score – and scored at home against Napoli earlier this season.
**Odds are subject to change. Odds accurate as of 13:00 UTC+01:00 Tuesday 11th April**
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